Recent forecasts from models including GFS and local Italian sources indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 26, 2026, most likely between 28–31 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29 °C and 30 °C. A period of showers and thunderstorms on August 25 is expected to limit daytime heating, followed by partly cloudy conditions with light winds that allow modest recovery without strong advection of warmer air. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Po Valley, where urban heat effects can add 1–2 °C locally at official stations. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 26?
29°C 34%
28°C 30%
30°C 30%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
30%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
29°C 34%
28°C 30%
30°C 30%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
30%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and local Italian sources indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 26, 2026, most likely between 28–31 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 29 °C and 30 °C. A period of showers and thunderstorms on August 25 is expected to limit daytime heating, followed by partly cloudy conditions with light winds that allow modest recovery without strong advection of warmer air. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Po Valley, where urban heat effects can add 1–2 °C locally at official stations. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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