Recent short-term forecast guidance for Milan on August 26 centers on daily lows near 19–21°C amid persistent late-summer warmth across the Po Valley, yet market-implied odds place the greatest weight on cooler outcomes because of model spread regarding overnight radiative cooling and possible northwesterly Alpine flow intrusions. Clear skies after any evening thunderstorms would allow stronger surface cooling toward 17–18°C, while increased cloud cover or southeasterly humidity would hold minima closer to 20°C or above. These variables, combined with typical August climatology showing lows rarely dipping below 16°C, explain the tight clustering around mid-teen to low-20°C brackets and the elevated probability assigned to the cooler tail. Updated ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
16°C 48%
17°C 48%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
48%
17°C
48%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast guidance for Milan on August 26 centers on daily lows near 19–21°C amid persistent late-summer warmth across the Po Valley, yet market-implied odds place the greatest weight on cooler outcomes because of model spread regarding overnight radiative cooling and possible northwesterly Alpine flow intrusions. Clear skies after any evening thunderstorms would allow stronger surface cooling toward 17–18°C, while increased cloud cover or southeasterly humidity would hold minima closer to 20°C or above. These variables, combined with typical August climatology showing lows rarely dipping below 16°C, explain the tight clustering around mid-teen to low-20°C brackets and the elevated probability assigned to the cooler tail. Updated ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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