Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 23?
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
8%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
2%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
$80 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$87 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$26 Wol.
1%
100-101°F
$9 Wol.
5%
102-103°F
$28 Wol.
16%
104-105°F
$140 Wol.
53%
106-107°F
$65 Wol.
32%
108-109°F
$22 Wol.
8%
110-111°F
$22 Wol.
1%
112-113°F
$26 Wol.
2%
114°F or higher
$18 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$522Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$522Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project Austin highs of 104–106°F on August 23 under a strong upper-level ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime heating, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 104–107°F range. Recent heat advisories through August 23 reflect sustained southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where Central Texas often sees triple-digit peaks. A potential tropical moisture surge later in the week introduces slight uncertainty for steering patterns and afternoon convection that could trim maxima by a degree or two, yet ensemble guidance keeps most solutions near the upper end of seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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