Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show Austin under a strong subtropical ridge with southerly flow and dew points near 75°F, favoring overnight lows in the upper 70s through August 23. This setup limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 74°F climatological average. However, long-range guidance notes a potential tropical disturbance or weak front approaching the region around August 23–25, which could increase cloud cover, shift winds, or alter boundary-layer moisture and tip the low either several degrees cooler or sustain it near 80°F. Model spread on timing and strength of this feature drives the near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of these key variables ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
71°F or below 82%
90°F or higher 72%
84-85°F 48%
76-77°F 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
82%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
90°F or higher
72%
71°F or below 82%
90°F or higher 72%
84-85°F 48%
76-77°F 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$20 Wol.
82%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
21%
84-85°F
$10 Wol.
48%
86-87°F
$10 Wol.
9%
88-89°F
$10 Wol.
8%
90°F or higher
$25 Wol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show Austin under a strong subtropical ridge with southerly flow and dew points near 75°F, favoring overnight lows in the upper 70s through August 23. This setup limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 74°F climatological average. However, long-range guidance notes a potential tropical disturbance or weak front approaching the region around August 23–25, which could increase cloud cover, shift winds, or alter boundary-layer moisture and tip the low either several degrees cooler or sustain it near 80°F. Model spread on timing and strength of this feature drives the near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of these key variables ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show Austin under a strong subtropical ridge with southerly flow and dew points near 75°F, favoring overnight lows in the upper 70s through August 23. This setup limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 74°F climatological average. However, long-range guidance notes a potential tropical disturbance or weak front approaching the region around August 23–25, which could increase cloud cover, shift winds, or alter boundary-layer moisture and tip the low either several degrees cooler or sustain it near 80°F. Model spread on timing and strength of this feature drives the near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of these key variables ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show Austin under a strong subtropical ridge with southerly flow and dew points near 75°F, favoring overnight lows in the upper 70s through August 23. This setup limits radiational cooling under mostly clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 74°F climatological average. However, long-range guidance notes a potential tropical disturbance or weak front approaching the region around August 23–25, which could increase cloud cover, shift winds, or alter boundary-layer moisture and tip the low either several degrees cooler or sustain it near 80°F. Model spread on timing and strength of this feature drives the near-even market split between sub-72°F and 90°F-plus outcomes, reflecting trader weighting of these key variables ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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