**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 22 overnight low reflects substantial forecast uncertainty around the typical mid-70s°F August baseline, with probabilities tightly clustered between 70–77°F bins.** Persistent high pressure and hot, humid conditions favor limited radiative cooling, keeping most ensemble guidance near 74–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Small differences in cloud cover, dew points, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while any subtle weakening of the ridge or weak frontal influence could enhance cooling toward the lower-70s range. Official National Weather Service and model consensus emphasize these variables as the dominant near-term drivers, with limited historical precedent for sub-70°F lows this late in summer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 22?
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
72-73°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$27 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$17 Wol.
23%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
26%
82-83°F
$22 Wol.
12%
84-85°F
$22 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$22 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$22 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 22 overnight low reflects substantial forecast uncertainty around the typical mid-70s°F August baseline, with probabilities tightly clustered between 70–77°F bins.** Persistent high pressure and hot, humid conditions favor limited radiative cooling, keeping most ensemble guidance near 74–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Small differences in cloud cover, dew points, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while any subtle weakening of the ridge or weak frontal influence could enhance cooling toward the lower-70s range. Official National Weather Service and model consensus emphasize these variables as the dominant near-term drivers, with limited historical precedent for sub-70°F lows this late in summer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$131Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 22 overnight low reflects substantial forecast uncertainty around the typical mid-70s°F August baseline, with probabilities tightly clustered between 70–77°F bins.** Persistent high pressure and hot, humid conditions favor limited radiative cooling, keeping most ensemble guidance near 74–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Small differences in cloud cover, dew points, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while any subtle weakening of the ridge or weak frontal influence could enhance cooling toward the lower-70s range. Official National Weather Service and model consensus emphasize these variables as the dominant near-term drivers, with limited historical precedent for sub-70°F lows this late in summer.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$131Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 22 overnight low reflects substantial forecast uncertainty around the typical mid-70s°F August baseline, with probabilities tightly clustered between 70–77°F bins.** Persistent high pressure and hot, humid conditions favor limited radiative cooling, keeping most ensemble guidance near 74–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Small differences in cloud cover, dew points, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while any subtle weakening of the ridge or weak frontal influence could enhance cooling toward the lower-70s range. Official National Weather Service and model consensus emphasize these variables as the dominant near-term drivers, with limited historical precedent for sub-70°F lows this late in summer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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