Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime in August typically produce daytime highs of 30–33°C, modulated by frequent afternoon thundery showers that limit extreme heating. Recent official observations from the National Environment Agency show daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days through mid-August, with a peak of 34.9°C, while a developing moderate El Niño is driving below-normal rainfall across the Maritime Continent. This drier pattern reduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling, supporting model consensus for 32–34°C on August 25. Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the modal outcome because it aligns with both long-term climatology and the latest short-range guidance, while probabilities for 34°C or higher remain lower due to persistent humidity and the risk of isolated convection capping further warming. Updated forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours will be the key data release likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$109 Wol.
1%
30°C
$5 Wol.
2%
31°C
$104 Wol.
4%
32°C
$441 Wol.
27%
33°C
$722 Wol.
54%
34°C
$129 Wol.
16%
35°C
$174 Wol.
3%
36°C
$96 Wol.
1%
37°C
$5 Wol.
2%
38°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$238 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime in August typically produce daytime highs of 30–33°C, modulated by frequent afternoon thundery showers that limit extreme heating. Recent official observations from the National Environment Agency show daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days through mid-August, with a peak of 34.9°C, while a developing moderate El Niño is driving below-normal rainfall across the Maritime Continent. This drier pattern reduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling, supporting model consensus for 32–34°C on August 25. Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the modal outcome because it aligns with both long-term climatology and the latest short-range guidance, while probabilities for 34°C or higher remain lower due to persistent humidity and the risk of isolated convection capping further warming. Updated forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours will be the key data release likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,135Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime in August typically produce daytime highs of 30–33°C, modulated by frequent afternoon thundery showers that limit extreme heating. Recent official observations from the National Environment Agency show daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days through mid-August, with a peak of 34.9°C, while a developing moderate El Niño is driving below-normal rainfall across the Maritime Continent. This drier pattern reduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling, supporting model consensus for 32–34°C on August 25. Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the modal outcome because it aligns with both long-term climatology and the latest short-range guidance, while probabilities for 34°C or higher remain lower due to persistent humidity and the risk of isolated convection capping further warming. Updated forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours will be the key data release likely to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,135Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime in August typically produce daytime highs of 30–33°C, modulated by frequent afternoon thundery showers that limit extreme heating. Recent official observations from the National Environment Agency show daily maxima exceeding 33°C on most days through mid-August, with a peak of 34.9°C, while a developing moderate El Niño is driving below-normal rainfall across the Maritime Continent. This drier pattern reduces cloud cover and evaporative cooling, supporting model consensus for 32–34°C on August 25. Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the modal outcome because it aligns with both long-term climatology and the latest short-range guidance, while probabilities for 34°C or higher remain lower due to persistent humidity and the risk of isolated convection capping further warming. Updated forecasts from the Meteorological Service Singapore over the next 48 hours will be the key data release likely to shift these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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