Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converged on a daily maximum of 36°C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, with afternoon peaks near that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, high humidity above 60%, and light winds. Official observations during peak heating hours aligned closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 36°C as the highest temperature. Late-day convective activity or minor station variations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation outside the 36°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$51,125 Wol.
$51,125 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$51,125 Wol.
$51,125 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
31°C or below
$1,100 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,321 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,894 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$9,656 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$7,638 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$7,905 Wol.
100%
37°C
$6,863 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$8,106 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$4,089 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$295 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$258 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converged on a daily maximum of 36°C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, with afternoon peaks near that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, high humidity above 60%, and light winds. Official observations during peak heating hours aligned closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 36°C as the highest temperature. Late-day convective activity or minor station variations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation outside the 36°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,125Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converged on a daily maximum of 36°C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, with afternoon peaks near that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, high humidity above 60%, and light winds. Official observations during peak heating hours aligned closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 36°C as the highest temperature. Late-day convective activity or minor station variations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation outside the 36°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51,125Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converged on a daily maximum of 36°C for Guangzhou on August 29, 2026, with afternoon peaks near that threshold amid partly cloudy conditions, high humidity above 60%, and light winds. Official observations during peak heating hours aligned closely with this value, driving the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 36°C as the highest temperature. Late-day convective activity or minor station variations could theoretically alter the recorded peak, though model consensus and real-time data leave little room for deviation outside the 36°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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