Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown for Los Angeles on August 31, with clear skies and light southwest winds promoting radiational cooling after highs near 85°F. Official forecasts converge on overnight lows of 63–66°F at coastal and downtown stations, consistent with the late-August climatological average of 64.8°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across the 64–71°F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, dewpoint recovery, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. The 2.5% odds on 74°F or higher reflect the low likelihood of renewed warming, while sub-60°F outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected offshore flow or clear-air drainage. Updated model runs and NWS point forecasts through Monday morning will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 26%
72-73°F 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 26%
72-73°F 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
$130 Wol.
2%
56-57°F
$140 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$85 Wol.
24%
60-61°F
$27 Wol.
22%
62-63°F
$15 Wol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
26%
68-69°F
$18 Wol.
29%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
27%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
26%
74°F or higher
$140 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown for Los Angeles on August 31, with clear skies and light southwest winds promoting radiational cooling after highs near 85°F. Official forecasts converge on overnight lows of 63–66°F at coastal and downtown stations, consistent with the late-August climatological average of 64.8°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across the 64–71°F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, dewpoint recovery, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. The 2.5% odds on 74°F or higher reflect the low likelihood of renewed warming, while sub-60°F outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected offshore flow or clear-air drainage. Updated model runs and NWS point forecasts through Monday morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$555Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown for Los Angeles on August 31, with clear skies and light southwest winds promoting radiational cooling after highs near 85°F. Official forecasts converge on overnight lows of 63–66°F at coastal and downtown stations, consistent with the late-August climatological average of 64.8°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across the 64–71°F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, dewpoint recovery, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. The 2.5% odds on 74°F or higher reflect the low likelihood of renewed warming, while sub-60°F outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected offshore flow or clear-air drainage. Updated model runs and NWS point forecasts through Monday morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$555Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown for Los Angeles on August 31, with clear skies and light southwest winds promoting radiational cooling after highs near 85°F. Official forecasts converge on overnight lows of 63–66°F at coastal and downtown stations, consistent with the late-August climatological average of 64.8°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across the 64–71°F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, dewpoint recovery, and exact wind speeds can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. The 2.5% odds on 74°F or higher reflect the low likelihood of renewed warming, while sub-60°F outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected offshore flow or clear-air drainage. Updated model runs and NWS point forecasts through Monday morning will provide the final resolution data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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