Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
33°C 34%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
31%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$109 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$108 Wol.
3%
31°C
$109 Wol.
17%
32°C
$173 Wol.
31%
33°C
$709 Wol.
34%
34°C
$900 Wol.
13%
35°C
$260 Wol.
4%
36°C
$226 Wol.
1%
37°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,619Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,619Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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