Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models converge on a low around 65–66°F for New York City on August 29, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure following a mild Friday. This places the 66–67°F bin at the center of trader expectations, with 48% implied probability, while the 64–65°F range captures downside risk if boundary-layer mixing is weaker than modeled. Historical climatology shows an average minimum of 66.4°F, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than an outlier. Updated model runs tonight and official NWS overnight forecasts will provide the next key data points before the minimum is observed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 29?
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 22%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$17 Wol.
1%
56-57°F
$5 Wol.
1%
58-59°F
$5 Wol.
3%
60-61°F
$50 Wol.
3%
62-63°F
$61 Wol.
8%
64-65°F
$86 Wol.
22%
66-67°F
$32 Wol.
48%
68-69°F
$75 Wol.
22%
70-71°F
$626 Wol.
4%
72-73°F
$270 Wol.
1%
74°F or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models converge on a low around 65–66°F for New York City on August 29, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure following a mild Friday. This places the 66–67°F bin at the center of trader expectations, with 48% implied probability, while the 64–65°F range captures downside risk if boundary-layer mixing is weaker than modeled. Historical climatology shows an average minimum of 66.4°F, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than an outlier. Updated model runs tonight and official NWS overnight forecasts will provide the next key data points before the minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,231Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models converge on a low around 65–66°F for New York City on August 29, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure following a mild Friday. This places the 66–67°F bin at the center of trader expectations, with 48% implied probability, while the 64–65°F range captures downside risk if boundary-layer mixing is weaker than modeled. Historical climatology shows an average minimum of 66.4°F, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than an outlier. Updated model runs tonight and official NWS overnight forecasts will provide the next key data points before the minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,231Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models converge on a low around 65–66°F for New York City on August 29, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and radiative cooling under high pressure following a mild Friday. This places the 66–67°F bin at the center of trader expectations, with 48% implied probability, while the 64–65°F range captures downside risk if boundary-layer mixing is weaker than modeled. Historical climatology shows an average minimum of 66.4°F, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than an outlier. Updated model runs tonight and official NWS overnight forecasts will provide the next key data points before the minimum is observed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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