Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus positioned a minimum temperature of 72–73°F as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 28, reflecting persistent warm, humid air under high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further supported readings in this range rather than the typical late-August climatological low near 68°F. Traders priced in the 70–71°F bin at lower probability because ensemble guidance showed only modest cooling potential, while sub-68°F scenarios remained remote absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and verification data released on August 29 are expected to confirm the market-implied distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
72-73°F 84%
70-71°F 5%
68-69°F 3%
66-67°F 2%
$6,480 Wol.
$6,480 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
71%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 84%
70-71°F 5%
68-69°F 3%
66-67°F 2%
$6,480 Wol.
$6,480 Wol.
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
$181 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$243 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$200 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$342 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$455 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$857 Wol.
3%
70-71°F
$1,164 Wol.
26%
72-73°F
$1,042 Wol.
71%
74-75°F
$1,080 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$438 Wol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$476 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus positioned a minimum temperature of 72–73°F as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 28, reflecting persistent warm, humid air under high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further supported readings in this range rather than the typical late-August climatological low near 68°F. Traders priced in the 70–71°F bin at lower probability because ensemble guidance showed only modest cooling potential, while sub-68°F scenarios remained remote absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and verification data released on August 29 are expected to confirm the market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,480Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus positioned a minimum temperature of 72–73°F as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 28, reflecting persistent warm, humid air under high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further supported readings in this range rather than the typical late-August climatological low near 68°F. Traders priced in the 70–71°F bin at lower probability because ensemble guidance showed only modest cooling potential, while sub-68°F scenarios remained remote absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and verification data released on August 29 are expected to confirm the market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,480Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and model consensus positioned a minimum temperature of 72–73°F as the dominant outcome for New York City on August 28, reflecting persistent warm, humid air under high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further supported readings in this range rather than the typical late-August climatological low near 68°F. Traders priced in the 70–71°F bin at lower probability because ensemble guidance showed only modest cooling potential, while sub-68°F scenarios remained remote absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated surface analyses and verification data released on August 29 are expected to confirm the market-implied distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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