**Sunny, dry conditions under a subtropical ridge are supporting a high near 99 °F in Austin on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98–99 °F bin at 59 % implied probability.** National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies, light south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a high near 99 °F (heat index up to ~102 °F), with negligible rain chances. Other models range 95–101 °F but cluster in the upper 90s, reflecting modest spread from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~95 °F for the date due to the ongoing warm pattern, with recent days featuring upper-90s to low-100s readings and no incoming fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Low uncertainty in the 24-hour window—sunny conditions and stable steering flow—keeps the distribution tightly centered on 98–99 °F while assigning low odds to 100+ °F outcomes. Updated model runs or afternoon observations on the 29th could refine the exact peak, but current guidance favors the current market leader.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 19%
96-97°F 13%
94-95°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$212 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$25 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$21 Wol.
3%
96-97°F
$378 Wol.
13%
98-99°F
$4,353 Wol.
59%
100-101°F
$655 Wol.
19%
102-103°F
$320 Wol.
2%
104-105°F
$160 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$49 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$69 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Sunny, dry conditions under a subtropical ridge are supporting a high near 99 °F in Austin on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98–99 °F bin at 59 % implied probability.**
National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies, light south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a high near 99 °F (heat index up to ~102 °F), with negligible rain chances. Other models range 95–101 °F but cluster in the upper 90s, reflecting modest spread from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery.
This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~95 °F for the date due to the ongoing warm pattern, with recent days featuring upper-90s to low-100s readings and no incoming fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Low uncertainty in the 24-hour window—sunny conditions and stable steering flow—keeps the distribution tightly centered on 98–99 °F while assigning low odds to 100+ °F outcomes. Updated model runs or afternoon observations on the 29th could refine the exact peak, but current guidance favors the current market leader.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,492Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Sunny, dry conditions under a subtropical ridge are supporting a high near 99 °F in Austin on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98–99 °F bin at 59 % implied probability.**
National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies, light south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a high near 99 °F (heat index up to ~102 °F), with negligible rain chances. Other models range 95–101 °F but cluster in the upper 90s, reflecting modest spread from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery.
This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~95 °F for the date due to the ongoing warm pattern, with recent days featuring upper-90s to low-100s readings and no incoming fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Low uncertainty in the 24-hour window—sunny conditions and stable steering flow—keeps the distribution tightly centered on 98–99 °F while assigning low odds to 100+ °F outcomes. Updated model runs or afternoon observations on the 29th could refine the exact peak, but current guidance favors the current market leader.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,492Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Sunny, dry conditions under a subtropical ridge are supporting a high near 99 °F in Austin on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98–99 °F bin at 59 % implied probability.** National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies, light south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a high near 99 °F (heat index up to ~102 °F), with negligible rain chances. Other models range 95–101 °F but cluster in the upper 90s, reflecting modest spread from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint recovery. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~95 °F for the date due to the ongoing warm pattern, with recent days featuring upper-90s to low-100s readings and no incoming fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Low uncertainty in the 24-hour window—sunny conditions and stable steering flow—keeps the distribution tightly centered on 98–99 °F while assigning low odds to 100+ °F outcomes. Updated model runs or afternoon observations on the 29th could refine the exact peak, but current guidance favors the current market leader.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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