Recent model runs for Warsaw on August 29 show daytime maxima clustered around 22–24 °C, with the tight 22 °C / 23 °C split in trader pricing reflecting modest forecast spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is giving way to increasing low-level moisture and a southwesterly flow, promoting morning cloud cover and scattered light rain that limits insolation and surface heating. Dew points near 15–17 °C and shifting winds from the west will further cap afternoon temperatures, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average daily maximum near 21 °C) and the narrow 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes underscore how small differences in cloud timing and shower coverage determine whether the peak settles at 22 °C or edges higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$10,707 Wol.
$10,707 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
3%
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$10,707 Wol.
$10,707 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Warsaw on August 29 show daytime maxima clustered around 22–24 °C, with the tight 22 °C / 23 °C split in trader pricing reflecting modest forecast spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is giving way to increasing low-level moisture and a southwesterly flow, promoting morning cloud cover and scattered light rain that limits insolation and surface heating. Dew points near 15–17 °C and shifting winds from the west will further cap afternoon temperatures, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average daily maximum near 21 °C) and the narrow 1–2 °C spread among leading outcomes underscore how small differences in cloud timing and shower coverage determine whether the peak settles at 22 °C or edges higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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