Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate potential for peak temperatures of 38–42°C in Jeddah on August 30 under strong solar insolation, mostly clear skies, and light northwesterly winds typical of late-summer Red Sea coastal patterns. These conditions align with the climatological peak of the season, when average daily highs reach 36–38°C and humidity often exceeds 40–60% near the coast, amplifying heat. Trader consensus favoring 40°C or higher (47.5% implied probability) over 39°C (27%) reflects model spread and the possibility of localized warming or slight forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
40°C or higher 49%
39°C 27%
38°C 15%
37°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
8%
38°C
15%
39°C
27%
40°C or higher
49%
40°C or higher 49%
39°C 27%
38°C 15%
37°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
8%
38°C
15%
39°C
27%
40°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate potential for peak temperatures of 38–42°C in Jeddah on August 30 under strong solar insolation, mostly clear skies, and light northwesterly winds typical of late-summer Red Sea coastal patterns. These conditions align with the climatological peak of the season, when average daily highs reach 36–38°C and humidity often exceeds 40–60% near the coast, amplifying heat. Trader consensus favoring 40°C or higher (47.5% implied probability) over 39°C (27%) reflects model spread and the possibility of localized warming or slight forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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