National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 36%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 36%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$268 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$115 Wol.
2%
62-63°F
$41 Wol.
4%
64-65°F
$179 Wol.
9%
66-67°F
$286 Wol.
22%
68-69°F
$380 Wol.
36%
70-71°F
$879 Wol.
26%
72-73°F
$406 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$103 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Wol.
1%
78°F or higher
$210 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,893Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,893Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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