**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 23–24 °C range.** This aligns with the historical average high of 22.8 °C for the date and reflects cooling after warmer conditions earlier in the month. A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms (particularly Friday into Saturday) are suppressing daytime heating compared to recent peaks near 30 °C or higher. Scientific factors favoring the leading market outcomes center on typical late-August dynamics: reduced solar insolation as the season progresses, advection of cooler maritime air, and limited diurnal range due to moisture and possible overnight rain. The 25 °C bin leads at 45 % implied probability, capturing scenarios with partial clearing and modest warming under the forecast envelope, while the cluster around 22–26 °C (each near 25 %) reflects model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity. Lower-probability tails (27 °C+) would require stronger subsidence or delayed cooling not currently supported, and sub-21 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unforecasted surge of colder air. Uncertainty stems primarily from the precise evolution of showers and wind patterns over the next 48 hours; updated model runs or observational data from stations such as Munich Airport could refine the exact peak. Overall, trader consensus appears anchored to this consensus cooling trend rather than extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 41%
24°C 31%
23°C 22%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 31%
23°C 22%
26°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$0 Wol.
2%
22°C
$0 Wol.
8%
23°C
$0 Wol.
22%
24°C
$0 Wol.
31%
25°C
$5 Wol.
41%
26°C
$13 Wol.
15%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 23–24 °C range.** This aligns with the historical average high of 22.8 °C for the date and reflects cooling after warmer conditions earlier in the month. A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms (particularly Friday into Saturday) are suppressing daytime heating compared to recent peaks near 30 °C or higher.
Scientific factors favoring the leading market outcomes center on typical late-August dynamics: reduced solar insolation as the season progresses, advection of cooler maritime air, and limited diurnal range due to moisture and possible overnight rain. The 25 °C bin leads at 45 % implied probability, capturing scenarios with partial clearing and modest warming under the forecast envelope, while the cluster around 22–26 °C (each near 25 %) reflects model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity. Lower-probability tails (27 °C+) would require stronger subsidence or delayed cooling not currently supported, and sub-21 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unforecasted surge of colder air.
Uncertainty stems primarily from the precise evolution of showers and wind patterns over the next 48 hours; updated model runs or observational data from stations such as Munich Airport could refine the exact peak. Overall, trader consensus appears anchored to this consensus cooling trend rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$18Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 23–24 °C range.** This aligns with the historical average high of 22.8 °C for the date and reflects cooling after warmer conditions earlier in the month. A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms (particularly Friday into Saturday) are suppressing daytime heating compared to recent peaks near 30 °C or higher.
Scientific factors favoring the leading market outcomes center on typical late-August dynamics: reduced solar insolation as the season progresses, advection of cooler maritime air, and limited diurnal range due to moisture and possible overnight rain. The 25 °C bin leads at 45 % implied probability, capturing scenarios with partial clearing and modest warming under the forecast envelope, while the cluster around 22–26 °C (each near 25 %) reflects model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity. Lower-probability tails (27 °C+) would require stronger subsidence or delayed cooling not currently supported, and sub-21 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unforecasted surge of colder air.
Uncertainty stems primarily from the precise evolution of showers and wind patterns over the next 48 hours; updated model runs or observational data from stations such as Munich Airport could refine the exact peak. Overall, trader consensus appears anchored to this consensus cooling trend rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs, indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich on August 29, 2026, most likely in the 23–24 °C range.** This aligns with the historical average high of 22.8 °C for the date and reflects cooling after warmer conditions earlier in the month. A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms (particularly Friday into Saturday) are suppressing daytime heating compared to recent peaks near 30 °C or higher. Scientific factors favoring the leading market outcomes center on typical late-August dynamics: reduced solar insolation as the season progresses, advection of cooler maritime air, and limited diurnal range due to moisture and possible overnight rain. The 25 °C bin leads at 45 % implied probability, capturing scenarios with partial clearing and modest warming under the forecast envelope, while the cluster around 22–26 °C (each near 25 %) reflects model spread in exact timing of any frontal passage or convective activity. Lower-probability tails (27 °C+) would require stronger subsidence or delayed cooling not currently supported, and sub-21 °C outcomes remain unlikely absent an unforecasted surge of colder air. Uncertainty stems primarily from the precise evolution of showers and wind patterns over the next 48 hours; updated model runs or observational data from stations such as Munich Airport could refine the exact peak. Overall, trader consensus appears anchored to this consensus cooling trend rather than extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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