Latest MetService and international model guidance anchors trader sentiment on a 13–14 °C daily maximum for Wellington on 27 August, reflecting near-average late-winter conditions under a weak northwesterly-to-southerly transition. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the precise timing of any frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait, and the amount of daytime cloud cover that modulates shortwave radiation. Northerly advection of milder maritime air can briefly push readings to 14 °C before a cooler southerly change arrives, while greater low-level cloud or stronger winds favor the 13 °C outcome. With no major model shifts in the past 24 hours and climatological August highs near 12–13 °C, the tight market spread captures genuine uncertainty in these small-scale variables ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
37%
14°C
45%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 37%
15°C 9%
12°C 7%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
37%
14°C
45%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model guidance anchors trader sentiment on a 13–14 °C daily maximum for Wellington on 27 August, reflecting near-average late-winter conditions under a weak northwesterly-to-southerly transition. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the precise timing of any frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing over Cook Strait, and the amount of daytime cloud cover that modulates shortwave radiation. Northerly advection of milder maritime air can briefly push readings to 14 °C before a cooler southerly change arrives, while greater low-level cloud or stronger winds favor the 13 °C outcome. With no major model shifts in the past 24 hours and climatological August highs near 12–13 °C, the tight market spread captures genuine uncertainty in these small-scale variables ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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