Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%) outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong advection of hotter air or significant cloud cover that would suppress highs. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 31°C probabilities remaining low at 12% absent unexpected warming. Traders are weighting these near-term model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on official Italian meteorological observations. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty around the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
28°C 10%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
28°C 10%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$25 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$21 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$17 Wol.
1%
26°C
$13 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
10%
29°C
$55 Wol.
32%
30°C
$107 Wol.
44%
31°C
$11 Wol.
12%
32°C
$20 Wol.
9%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%) outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong advection of hotter air or significant cloud cover that would suppress highs. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 31°C probabilities remaining low at 12% absent unexpected warming. Traders are weighting these near-term model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on official Italian meteorological observations. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty around the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%) outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong advection of hotter air or significant cloud cover that would suppress highs. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 31°C probabilities remaining low at 12% absent unexpected warming. Traders are weighting these near-term model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on official Italian meteorological observations. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty around the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 30°C (44%) and 29°C (32%) outcomes. This positioning reflects stable late-summer conditions without strong advection of hotter air or significant cloud cover that would suppress highs. Model consensus shows limited spread, with 31°C probabilities remaining low at 12% absent unexpected warming. Traders are weighting these near-term model outputs heavily, as resolution hinges on official Italian meteorological observations. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty around the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania