Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local providers indicate a peak of 30–32°C in Milan on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Recent observations from August 25–26 show highs near 29–30°C with similar patterns persisting, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (31.0%). Minor model spread arises from urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing, keeping lower and higher outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated runs through the evening of August 26 are expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 27?
30°C 44%
31°C 31%
29°C 14%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
44%
31°C
31%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 44%
31°C 31%
29°C 14%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$394 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$64 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$520 Wol.
2%
28°C
$102 Wol.
4%
29°C
$457 Wol.
14%
30°C
$2,763 Wol.
44%
31°C
$283 Wol.
31%
32°C
$65 Wol.
9%
33°C
$61 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$122 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local providers indicate a peak of 30–32°C in Milan on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Recent observations from August 25–26 show highs near 29–30°C with similar patterns persisting, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (31.0%). Minor model spread arises from urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing, keeping lower and higher outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated runs through the evening of August 26 are expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,190Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local providers indicate a peak of 30–32°C in Milan on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Recent observations from August 25–26 show highs near 29–30°C with similar patterns persisting, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (31.0%). Minor model spread arises from urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing, keeping lower and higher outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated runs through the evening of August 26 are expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,190Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and local providers indicate a peak of 30–32°C in Milan on August 27 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Recent observations from August 25–26 show highs near 29–30°C with similar patterns persisting, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 30°C (43.5%) and 31°C (31.0%). Minor model spread arises from urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing, keeping lower and higher outcomes at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated runs through the evening of August 26 are expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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