Persistent southerly flow and high pressure maintaining elevated dew points near 70°F are limiting overnight radiational cooling in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a Thursday night minimum in the upper 70s. Afternoon thunderstorms tied to a weak disturbance offer only modest cloud cover that may further suppress cooling by a degree or two, while light winds prevent strong mixing of cooler air aloft. Historical August minima average around 72°F, but the ongoing heat wave has shifted the distribution upward. Trader clustering around 76–79°F brackets reflects model spread in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of any evening convection rather than major forecast divergence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
84-85°F 34%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 26%
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
9%
84-85°F 34%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 26%
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
19%
88°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and high pressure maintaining elevated dew points near 70°F are limiting overnight radiational cooling in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converging on a Thursday night minimum in the upper 70s. Afternoon thunderstorms tied to a weak disturbance offer only modest cloud cover that may further suppress cooling by a degree or two, while light winds prevent strong mixing of cooler air aloft. Historical August minima average around 72°F, but the ongoing heat wave has shifted the distribution upward. Trader clustering around 76–79°F brackets reflects model spread in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of any evening convection rather than major forecast divergence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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