Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
9%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
15%
100-101°F
$30 Wol.
43%
102-103°F
$18 Wol.
26%
104-105°F
$279 Wol.
7%
106-107°F
$25 Wol.
5%
108-109°F
$0 Wol.
3%
110-111°F
$0 Wol.
1%
112-113°F
$240 Wol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$206 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$809Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$809Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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