**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the most probable high for Munich on August 26, 2026, reflecting model agreement around 26–27°C amid partly cloudy, stable late-summer conditions.** Forecasts from DWD, GFS-based services, and local providers consistently project an afternoon peak near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), with morning readings starting in the mid-teens to low-20s and light easterly or variable winds limiting rapid warming or cooling. Partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances (under 25% in most runs) support modest diurnal heating without the amplification seen under clear, high-pressure regimes or the suppression from widespread cloud cover or showers. Recent observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing toward 24–25°C, aligning with model guidance that places the daily maximum squarely in the 26–27°C range. This positions 27°C as the central tendency, while the lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C capture minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, microclimate variations across the city, or small model spread. With the day advancing and no major forecast shifts reported, the market-implied odds mirror the current observational and numerical consensus for this specific date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 68%
26°C 15%
28°C 13%
25°C 2%
$33,626 Wol.
$33,626 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
68%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 68%
26°C 15%
28°C 13%
25°C 2%
$33,626 Wol.
$33,626 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
68%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 27°C as the most probable high for Munich on August 26, 2026, reflecting model agreement around 26–27°C amid partly cloudy, stable late-summer conditions.** Forecasts from DWD, GFS-based services, and local providers consistently project an afternoon peak near 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), with morning readings starting in the mid-teens to low-20s and light easterly or variable winds limiting rapid warming or cooling. Partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances (under 25% in most runs) support modest diurnal heating without the amplification seen under clear, high-pressure regimes or the suppression from widespread cloud cover or showers. Recent observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing toward 24–25°C, aligning with model guidance that places the daily maximum squarely in the 26–27°C range. This positions 27°C as the central tendency, while the lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C capture minor uncertainties in exact peak timing, microclimate variations across the city, or small model spread. With the day advancing and no major forecast shifts reported, the market-implied odds mirror the current observational and numerical consensus for this specific date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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