Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$55 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$21 Wol.
2%
26°C
$340 Wol.
4%
27°C
$1,518 Wol.
7%
28°C
$688 Wol.
29%
29°C
$883 Wol.
37%
30°C
$451 Wol.
21%
31°C
$11 Wol.
4%
32°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,016Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,016Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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