Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
41%
31°C
26%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$366 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$366 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$366 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$145 Wol.
1%
27°C
$343 Wol.
2%
28°C
$1,033 Wol.
5%
29°C
$1,365 Wol.
24%
30°C
$290 Wol.
41%
31°C
$405 Wol.
26%
32°C
$176 Wol.
3%
33°C or higher
$477 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,334Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,334Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 29–30°C in Incheon on August 26, driven by typical late-summer conditions with light westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no strong frontal systems to enhance or suppress temperatures. This aligns with Seoul’s climatological August average high near 30°C and follows a period of elevated readings, including 31–36°C across the capital region on August 24–25 amid lingering heat-wave conditions. Market-implied probabilities, led by 30°C at 40% and 31°C at 27%, reflect trader consensus on these stable model outputs and minimal expected deviation, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift odds within the narrow 29–31°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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