A moderate marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and a temperature inversion is the main factor capping San Francisco’s August 25 high near 70–73°F, with NWS forecasts centering on 70°F under morning haze and gradual afternoon clearing. This stratus suppression reduces insolation and keeps readings close to seasonal norms around 69–74°F at downtown and airport stations. Trader consensus splits tightly between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because small differences in cloud-break timing or onshore wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Recent warmer days (76–77°F on the 23rd) highlight how quickly the marine influence can fluctuate, while model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 74°F given persistent onshore flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 8%
NOWE
$13,591 Wol.
NOWE
$13,591 Wol.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 8%
NOWE
$13,591 Wol.
NOWE
$13,591 Wol.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$239 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$424 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,080 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$923 Wol.
12%
70-71°F
$2,167 Wol.
43%
72-73°F
$1,980 Wol.
40%
74-75°F
$2,365 Wol.
8%
76-77°F
$1,152 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,667 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,213 Wol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$381 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A moderate marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and a temperature inversion is the main factor capping San Francisco’s August 25 high near 70–73°F, with NWS forecasts centering on 70°F under morning haze and gradual afternoon clearing. This stratus suppression reduces insolation and keeps readings close to seasonal norms around 69–74°F at downtown and airport stations. Trader consensus splits tightly between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because small differences in cloud-break timing or onshore wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Recent warmer days (76–77°F on the 23rd) highlight how quickly the marine influence can fluctuate, while model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 74°F given persistent onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,591Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A moderate marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and a temperature inversion is the main factor capping San Francisco’s August 25 high near 70–73°F, with NWS forecasts centering on 70°F under morning haze and gradual afternoon clearing. This stratus suppression reduces insolation and keeps readings close to seasonal norms around 69–74°F at downtown and airport stations. Trader consensus splits tightly between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because small differences in cloud-break timing or onshore wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Recent warmer days (76–77°F on the 23rd) highlight how quickly the marine influence can fluctuate, while model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 74°F given persistent onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,591Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...A moderate marine layer driven by cool Pacific waters and a temperature inversion is the main factor capping San Francisco’s August 25 high near 70–73°F, with NWS forecasts centering on 70°F under morning haze and gradual afternoon clearing. This stratus suppression reduces insolation and keeps readings close to seasonal norms around 69–74°F at downtown and airport stations. Trader consensus splits tightly between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because small differences in cloud-break timing or onshore wind strength can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Recent warmer days (76–77°F on the 23rd) highlight how quickly the marine influence can fluctuate, while model consensus shows low risk of exceeding 74°F given persistent onshore flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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