Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 26 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 90–100% overnight, and radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies following scattered showers on the 25th. These conditions support the clustered market-implied odds around 12–13°C while capping downside risk, as dew points near 13–14°C limit further drops absent strong cold advection. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13°C for the date, with recent years rarely below 10°C; traders appear to weigh minor model divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official DWD verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 58%
13°C 31%
12°C 30%
11°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
58%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
25%
12°C
30%
13°C
31%
14°C
21%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 58%
13°C 31%
12°C 30%
11°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Wol.
58%
9°C
$0 Wol.
5%
10°C
$6 Wol.
10%
11°C
$0 Wol.
25%
12°C
$0 Wol.
30%
13°C
$0 Wol.
31%
14°C
$0 Wol.
21%
15°C
$0 Wol.
9%
16°C
$5 Wol.
8%
17°C
$15 Wol.
15%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 26 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 90–100% overnight, and radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies following scattered showers on the 25th. These conditions support the clustered market-implied odds around 12–13°C while capping downside risk, as dew points near 13–14°C limit further drops absent strong cold advection. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13°C for the date, with recent years rarely below 10°C; traders appear to weigh minor model divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$31Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 26 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 90–100% overnight, and radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies following scattered showers on the 25th. These conditions support the clustered market-implied odds around 12–13°C while capping downside risk, as dew points near 13–14°C limit further drops absent strong cold advection. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13°C for the date, with recent years rarely below 10°C; traders appear to weigh minor model divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official DWD verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 26 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 90–100% overnight, and radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies following scattered showers on the 25th. These conditions support the clustered market-implied odds around 12–13°C while capping downside risk, as dew points near 13–14°C limit further drops absent strong cold advection. Historical climatology shows an average low of 13°C for the date, with recent years rarely below 10°C; traders appear to weigh minor model divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C either way ahead of official DWD verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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