Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Tuesday high in Denver near 85–89 °F, aligning with climatological norms for late August and explaining the market’s concentration on the 86–89 °F bins. Persistent monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light easterly flow and surface dew points in the 50s °F moderate temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk if storms develop after peak heating or if downslope warming strengthens. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 25?
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$80 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$10 Wol.
3%
82-83°F
$12 Wol.
5%
84-85°F
$33 Wol.
12%
86-87°F
$56 Wol.
31%
88-89°F
$278 Wol.
45%
90-91°F
$4 Wol.
12%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$41 Wol.
2%
96°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Tuesday high in Denver near 85–89 °F, aligning with climatological norms for late August and explaining the market’s concentration on the 86–89 °F bins. Persistent monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light easterly flow and surface dew points in the 50s °F moderate temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk if storms develop after peak heating or if downslope warming strengthens. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$515Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Tuesday high in Denver near 85–89 °F, aligning with climatological norms for late August and explaining the market’s concentration on the 86–89 °F bins. Persistent monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light easterly flow and surface dew points in the 50s °F moderate temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk if storms develop after peak heating or if downslope warming strengthens. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$515Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Tuesday high in Denver near 85–89 °F, aligning with climatological norms for late August and explaining the market’s concentration on the 86–89 °F bins. Persistent monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while light easterly flow and surface dew points in the 50s °F moderate temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest upside risk if storms develop after peak heating or if downslope warming strengthens. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum and any adjustments to implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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