Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the ECMWF and national services point to overnight lows near 20–21°C in Milan on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. This keeps temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 19°C, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 20°C and 21°C at 26% each because these align with the tightest model consensus; lower outcomes like 18°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, whereas higher values remain possible if daytime heat lingers longer into the night. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 27?
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
26%
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
10%
17°C
$0 Wol.
20%
18°C
$0 Wol.
48%
19°C
$0 Wol.
48%
20°C
$0 Wol.
27%
21°C
$0 Wol.
27%
22°C
$0 Wol.
48%
23°C
$0 Wol.
48%
24°C
$0 Wol.
2%
25°C
$0 Wol.
13%
26°C or higher
$0 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the ECMWF and national services point to overnight lows near 20–21°C in Milan on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. This keeps temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 19°C, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 20°C and 21°C at 26% each because these align with the tightest model consensus; lower outcomes like 18°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, whereas higher values remain possible if daytime heat lingers longer into the night. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the ECMWF and national services point to overnight lows near 20–21°C in Milan on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. This keeps temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 19°C, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 20°C and 21°C at 26% each because these align with the tightest model consensus; lower outcomes like 18°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, whereas higher values remain possible if daytime heat lingers longer into the night. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the ECMWF and national services point to overnight lows near 20–21°C in Milan on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. This keeps temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 19°C, while steering patterns and weak winds reduce the chance of sharper drops. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 20°C and 21°C at 26% each because these align with the tightest model consensus; lower outcomes like 18°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, whereas higher values remain possible if daytime heat lingers longer into the night. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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