Recent National Meteorological Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Mexico City overnight minimum near 12–13°C on August 27, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient longwave radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. The urban heat-island effect, strongest under calm conditions, typically raises observed minima by 1–3°C relative to rural surroundings, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover can limit further drops. Climatological August lows average 10–12°C, yet recent days have run slightly milder; the narrow spread of trader probabilities across 11–13°C captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover, wind, and station-specific readings rather than any single dominant outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
13°C 51%
10°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 27%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
13°C 51%
10°C 50%
16°C 50%
12°C 27%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
50%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Mexico City overnight minimum near 12–13°C on August 27, driven by clear-to-partly cloudy skies allowing efficient longwave radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. The urban heat-island effect, strongest under calm conditions, typically raises observed minima by 1–3°C relative to rural surroundings, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover can limit further drops. Climatological August lows average 10–12°C, yet recent days have run slightly milder; the narrow spread of trader probabilities across 11–13°C captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of cloud cover, wind, and station-specific readings rather than any single dominant outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania