Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 project a daily minimum of 12–15 °C, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent monsoon-season cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Multiple runs from sources including Yr, Worldmeteo, and regional guidance show early-morning readings clustered near 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, while occasional clearer pockets or heavier rain bands could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical August minima average near 10–13 °C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer, leaving traders balancing the narrow spread between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes against the modest chance of a cooler outlier below 10 °C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
16°C 96%
17°C 96%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
9°C or below
92%
10°C
92%
11°C
95%
12°C
95%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
96%
17°C
96%
18°C
92%
19°C or higher
46%
16°C 96%
17°C 96%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
9°C or below
92%
10°C
92%
11°C
95%
12°C
95%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
96%
17°C
96%
18°C
92%
19°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Mexico City on August 28 project a daily minimum of 12–15 °C, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent monsoon-season cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiational cooling. Multiple runs from sources including Yr, Worldmeteo, and regional guidance show early-morning readings clustered near 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, while occasional clearer pockets or heavier rain bands could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical August minima average near 10–13 °C, but recent days have trended slightly warmer, leaving traders balancing the narrow spread between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes against the modest chance of a cooler outlier below 10 °C. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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