Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into August 29, promoting radiative cooling after a sunny daytime high near 24°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 10–15°C range, with slight model differences in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing creating the observed spread in market-implied odds. Historical late-August averages for Toronto hover around 14–16°C lows, but the current high-pressure regime and recent shower clearance have shifted consensus toward the cooler end without eliminating upside risk from any lingering clouds or urban heat effects. Traders are pricing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
10°C or below 49%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
17°C 49%
10°C or below
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
30%
15°C
34%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
47%
10°C or below 49%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
17°C 49%
10°C or below
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
30%
15°C
34%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into August 29, promoting radiative cooling after a sunny daytime high near 24°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 10–15°C range, with slight model differences in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing creating the observed spread in market-implied odds. Historical late-August averages for Toronto hover around 14–16°C lows, but the current high-pressure regime and recent shower clearance have shifted consensus toward the cooler end without eliminating upside risk from any lingering clouds or urban heat effects. Traders are pricing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model runs and official updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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