**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 90% implied probability) because official forecasts and model consensus from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered showers possible—factors that moderate nighttime radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Recent model runs indicate temperatures bottoming out near 19–20°C in the early morning hours before rising to daytime highs of 25–27°C under increasing cloud cover. This aligns with reports of temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal norms due to cooler air advection from the north. The slight edge for 21°C reflects minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow marginally less cooling, while lower outcomes like 17–18°C remain plausible only if stronger showers enhance evaporative cooling. Higher thresholds above 22°C carry negligible odds given observed trends and historical August lows near 20°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations will continue refining the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
17°C 85%
15°C or below 53%
16°C 47%
19°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
53%
16°C
47%
17°C
85%
18°C
38%
19°C
44%
20°C
44%
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 85%
15°C or below 53%
16°C 47%
19°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$165 Wol.
53%
16°C
$38 Wol.
47%
17°C
$32 Wol.
85%
18°C
$73 Wol.
38%
19°C
$0 Wol.
44%
20°C
$0 Wol.
44%
21°C
$201 Wol.
51%
22°C
$225 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$43 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 90% implied probability) because official forecasts and model consensus from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band.**
Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered showers possible—factors that moderate nighttime radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Recent model runs indicate temperatures bottoming out near 19–20°C in the early morning hours before rising to daytime highs of 25–27°C under increasing cloud cover. This aligns with reports of temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal norms due to cooler air advection from the north.
The slight edge for 21°C reflects minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow marginally less cooling, while lower outcomes like 17–18°C remain plausible only if stronger showers enhance evaporative cooling. Higher thresholds above 22°C carry negligible odds given observed trends and historical August lows near 20°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations will continue refining the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$847Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 90% implied probability) because official forecasts and model consensus from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band.**
Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered showers possible—factors that moderate nighttime radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Recent model runs indicate temperatures bottoming out near 19–20°C in the early morning hours before rising to daytime highs of 25–27°C under increasing cloud cover. This aligns with reports of temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal norms due to cooler air advection from the north.
The slight edge for 21°C reflects minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow marginally less cooling, while lower outcomes like 17–18°C remain plausible only if stronger showers enhance evaporative cooling. Higher thresholds above 22°C carry negligible odds given observed trends and historical August lows near 20°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations will continue refining the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$847Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 90% implied probability) because official forecasts and model consensus from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight minimum in that narrow band.** Current conditions show partly to mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered showers possible—factors that moderate nighttime radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Recent model runs indicate temperatures bottoming out near 19–20°C in the early morning hours before rising to daytime highs of 25–27°C under increasing cloud cover. This aligns with reports of temperatures running 4–6°C below seasonal norms due to cooler air advection from the north. The slight edge for 21°C reflects minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow marginally less cooling, while lower outcomes like 17–18°C remain plausible only if stronger showers enhance evaporative cooling. Higher thresholds above 22°C carry negligible odds given observed trends and historical August lows near 20°C. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations will continue refining the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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