Official meteorological observations from stations in Wellington, New Zealand, including data from the Wellington International Airport and MetService networks, indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, when regional high-pressure systems and sea breezes typically limit peaks near 13–15°C, and recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and local forecasters showed no significant warming anomalies. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified measurements through peak heating hours, with minimal uncertainty given the day's advanced timing. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post hoc data revisions by official reporting bodies or an unprecedented microclimate spike exceeding sensor thresholds, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,892 Wol.
$68,892 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,892 Wol.
$68,892 Wol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from stations in Wellington, New Zealand, including data from the Wellington International Airport and MetService networks, indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 29 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, when regional high-pressure systems and sea breezes typically limit peaks near 13–15°C, and recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and local forecasters showed no significant warming anomalies. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified measurements through peak heating hours, with minimal uncertainty given the day's advanced timing. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post hoc data revisions by official reporting bodies or an unprecedented microclimate spike exceeding sensor thresholds, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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