Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office indicates a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Wellington on August 29, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies overnight, combined with moderate northwesterly to southerly winds and typical winter humidity levels, will largely determine the exact low, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but recent milder conditions and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the elevated probabilities for 10–12°C outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
6°C or below 43%
16°C or higher 38%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
43%
7°C
10%
8°C
26%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
38%
6°C or below 43%
16°C or higher 38%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Wol.
43%
7°C
$5 Wol.
10%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
26%
12°C
$0 Wol.
25%
13°C
$0 Wol.
25%
14°C
$5 Wol.
8%
15°C
$5 Wol.
8%
16°C or higher
$5 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office indicates a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Wellington on August 29, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies overnight, combined with moderate northwesterly to southerly winds and typical winter humidity levels, will largely determine the exact low, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but recent milder conditions and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the elevated probabilities for 10–12°C outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office indicates a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Wellington on August 29, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies overnight, combined with moderate northwesterly to southerly winds and typical winter humidity levels, will largely determine the exact low, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but recent milder conditions and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the elevated probabilities for 10–12°C outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office indicates a minimum temperature near 10–11°C for Wellington on August 29, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies overnight, combined with moderate northwesterly to southerly winds and typical winter humidity levels, will largely determine the exact low, while coastal marine influences moderate extremes. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, but recent milder conditions and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the elevated probabilities for 10–12°C outcomes over colder thresholds below 8°C. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key variable for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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