Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 80–83 °F. Forecasters cite a southwesterly flow advecting humid air while a weak disturbance increases cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after midday, which typically limits peak insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Earlier model runs had shown slightly higher potential under clearer skies, but updated guidance has reinforced the lower-80s range and reduced odds of readings above 84 °F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between the climatological baseline and the cooling influence of expected afternoon convection as the dominant near-term uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 27?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 27?
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$173 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
2%
72-73°F
$63 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$22 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
7%
78-79°F
$112 Wol.
16%
80-81°F
$67 Wol.
46%
82-83°F
$47 Wol.
27%
84-85°F
$433 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$5 Wol.
4%
88°F or higher
$53 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 80–83 °F. Forecasters cite a southwesterly flow advecting humid air while a weak disturbance increases cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after midday, which typically limits peak insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Earlier model runs had shown slightly higher potential under clearer skies, but updated guidance has reinforced the lower-80s range and reduced odds of readings above 84 °F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between the climatological baseline and the cooling influence of expected afternoon convection as the dominant near-term uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$975Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 80–83 °F. Forecasters cite a southwesterly flow advecting humid air while a weak disturbance increases cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after midday, which typically limits peak insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Earlier model runs had shown slightly higher potential under clearer skies, but updated guidance has reinforced the lower-80s range and reduced odds of readings above 84 °F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between the climatological baseline and the cooling influence of expected afternoon convection as the dominant near-term uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$975Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daytime high in the low 80s for New York City on August 27, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 80–83 °F. Forecasters cite a southwesterly flow advecting humid air while a weak disturbance increases cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after midday, which typically limits peak insolation and caps temperatures near or slightly below seasonal normals of 81–82 °F. Earlier model runs had shown slightly higher potential under clearer skies, but updated guidance has reinforced the lower-80s range and reduced odds of readings above 84 °F. Traders appear to weigh the balance between the climatological baseline and the cooling influence of expected afternoon convection as the dominant near-term uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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