**Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on August 26, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport and Newark Liberty International Airport (used for NYC records) showed a minimum of 67°F early on the 26th, with 24-hour lows near 64.9–65°F at Central Park stations under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligned closely with seasonal norms (average low ~67°F for late August) and recent days' patterns of cooling to the mid-60s overnight after highs in the low 80s. No significant synoptic features—such as cold fronts, cloud cover, or precipitation—altered the radiative cooling that typically sets the daily minimum. Market positioning reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts, with near-zero odds on other bins because the observed range fell squarely inside 66-67°F. The only realistic shifts would require an official data revision (rare for temperature) or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding measurement precision, both of which have negligible probability given consistent multi-station reporting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$8,729 Wol.
$8,729 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$8,729 Wol.
$8,729 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$411 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$345 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$828 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$744 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$519 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$485 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$625 Wol.
Yes
68-69°F
$2,870 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$876 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$928 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$98 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on August 26, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport and Newark Liberty International Airport (used for NYC records) showed a minimum of 67°F early on the 26th, with 24-hour lows near 64.9–65°F at Central Park stations under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligned closely with seasonal norms (average low ~67°F for late August) and recent days' patterns of cooling to the mid-60s overnight after highs in the low 80s.
No significant synoptic features—such as cold fronts, cloud cover, or precipitation—altered the radiative cooling that typically sets the daily minimum. Market positioning reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts, with near-zero odds on other bins because the observed range fell squarely inside 66-67°F.
The only realistic shifts would require an official data revision (rare for temperature) or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding measurement precision, both of which have negligible probability given consistent multi-station reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,729Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on August 26, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport and Newark Liberty International Airport (used for NYC records) showed a minimum of 67°F early on the 26th, with 24-hour lows near 64.9–65°F at Central Park stations under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligned closely with seasonal norms (average low ~67°F for late August) and recent days' patterns of cooling to the mid-60s overnight after highs in the low 80s.
No significant synoptic features—such as cold fronts, cloud cover, or precipitation—altered the radiative cooling that typically sets the daily minimum. Market positioning reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts, with near-zero odds on other bins because the observed range fell squarely inside 66-67°F.
The only realistic shifts would require an official data revision (rare for temperature) or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding measurement precision, both of which have negligible probability given consistent multi-station reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,729Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on August 26, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport and Newark Liberty International Airport (used for NYC records) showed a minimum of 67°F early on the 26th, with 24-hour lows near 64.9–65°F at Central Park stations under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligned closely with seasonal norms (average low ~67°F for late August) and recent days' patterns of cooling to the mid-60s overnight after highs in the low 80s. No significant synoptic features—such as cold fronts, cloud cover, or precipitation—altered the radiative cooling that typically sets the daily minimum. Market positioning reflects verified post-event data rather than forecasts, with near-zero odds on other bins because the observed range fell squarely inside 66-67°F. The only realistic shifts would require an official data revision (rare for temperature) or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding measurement precision, both of which have negligible probability given consistent multi-station reporting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania