**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 42%
28°C 38%
26°C 23%
25°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
23%
27°C
42%
28°C
38%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 42%
28°C 38%
26°C 23%
25°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
22°C
$0 Wol.
4%
23°C
$0 Wol.
4%
24°C
$0 Wol.
19%
25°C
$0 Wol.
20%
26°C
$0 Wol.
23%
27°C
$0 Wol.
42%
28°C
$0 Wol.
38%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
6%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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