Traders assign the highest probability to a 21°C daily maximum in London based on the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts showing mild late-summer conditions with moderate cloud cover and a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. These runs align closely with historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C and reflect consensus across global models with modest spread in afternoon temperatures. Recent shifts in upper-level patterns have reduced the chance of stronger insolation that could push readings to 23°C or above, while cooler advection keeps sub-20°C outcomes in play. Morning surface observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates before the diurnal maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 29?
21°C 48%
20°C 30%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
$93,414 Wol.
$93,414 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
30%
21°C
48%
22°C
14%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 48%
20°C 30%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
$93,414 Wol.
$93,414 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
30%
21°C
48%
22°C
14%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 21°C daily maximum in London based on the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts showing mild late-summer conditions with moderate cloud cover and a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. These runs align closely with historical late-August baselines near 20–22°C and reflect consensus across global models with modest spread in afternoon temperatures. Recent shifts in upper-level patterns have reduced the chance of stronger insolation that could push readings to 23°C or above, while cooler advection keeps sub-20°C outcomes in play. Morning surface observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates before the diurnal maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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