Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and Atlantic air masses that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's dominant 67% implied probability for 17°C, alongside 20% for 18°C, as models show temperatures holding in a narrow 16–19°C range amid unsettled conditions with showers. Historical late-August baselines for the region average similar mild lows around 15–17°C, with current data releases from monitoring stations reinforcing trader consensus on this outcome rather than sharper drops or warmer anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 29?
17°C 73%
18°C 20%
16°C 7%
14°C <1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
68%
18°C
20%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 73%
18°C 20%
16°C 7%
14°C <1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
68%
18°C
20%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and Atlantic air masses that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's dominant 67% implied probability for 17°C, alongside 20% for 18°C, as models show temperatures holding in a narrow 16–19°C range amid unsettled conditions with showers. Historical late-August baselines for the region average similar mild lows around 15–17°C, with current data releases from monitoring stations reinforcing trader consensus on this outcome rather than sharper drops or warmer anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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