Official National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 87°F in Chicago on August 30 under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Southwesterly flow is advecting warmer air while increasing cloud cover and a slight (20%) chance of showers could limit afternoon heating and keep the peak in the mid-to-upper 80s. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with historical August 30 averages near 81°F providing context. Market-implied odds clustered in the 84–87°F range reflect this forecast consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of final observations. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon briefings will be key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$127 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$144 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$142 Wol.
8%
82-83°F
$298 Wol.
21%
84-85°F
$119 Wol.
28%
86-87°F
$118 Wol.
24%
88-89°F
$242 Wol.
16%
90-91°F
$32 Wol.
6%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
1%
96°F or higher
$353 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 87°F in Chicago on August 30 under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Southwesterly flow is advecting warmer air while increasing cloud cover and a slight (20%) chance of showers could limit afternoon heating and keep the peak in the mid-to-upper 80s. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with historical August 30 averages near 81°F providing context. Market-implied odds clustered in the 84–87°F range reflect this forecast consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of final observations. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon briefings will be key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,575Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 87°F in Chicago on August 30 under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Southwesterly flow is advecting warmer air while increasing cloud cover and a slight (20%) chance of showers could limit afternoon heating and keep the peak in the mid-to-upper 80s. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with historical August 30 averages near 81°F providing context. Market-implied odds clustered in the 84–87°F range reflect this forecast consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of final observations. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon briefings will be key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,575Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 87°F in Chicago on August 30 under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. Southwesterly flow is advecting warmer air while increasing cloud cover and a slight (20%) chance of showers could limit afternoon heating and keep the peak in the mid-to-upper 80s. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with historical August 30 averages near 81°F providing context. Market-implied odds clustered in the 84–87°F range reflect this forecast consensus tempered by remaining uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of final observations. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon briefings will be key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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