Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 point to a high in the low 80s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light south-southwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome at 58.5% implied probability. Near-normal late-summer conditions, including moderating lake breeze effects and absence of strong warm advection, support this range over higher bins, while recent model runs and observed highs near 82°F the prior day reinforce trader positioning around typical seasonal baselines. Upcoming afternoon observations will resolve any minor forecast adjustments from regional models.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
82-83°F 59%
80-81°F 20%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 3%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
59%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 59%
80-81°F 20%
84-85°F 20%
86-87°F 3%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
59%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 point to a high in the low 80s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light south-southwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant 82-83°F outcome at 58.5% implied probability. Near-normal late-summer conditions, including moderating lake breeze effects and absence of strong warm advection, support this range over higher bins, while recent model runs and observed highs near 82°F the prior day reinforce trader positioning around typical seasonal baselines. Upcoming afternoon observations will resolve any minor forecast adjustments from regional models.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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