**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models show a high near 77–80°F for Chicago on August 27, 2026, with sunny to partly cloudy skies, northwest to northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon shower chance.** Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and post-frontal drier air keep readings from climbing further, while inland sites may briefly reach the low 80s before any lake breeze develops. These conditions align closely with the market’s dominant 80–81°F bin (65% implied probability) and the secondary 82–83°F outcome (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest warming under stable high pressure rather than any rapid intensification or heat advection. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs continue to favor this narrow range, with minimal upside risk above 83°F given the timing of any cloud or shower development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 27?
80-81°F 65%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
65%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 65%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
$283 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,849 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$384 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$779 Wol.
7%
80-81°F
$3,136 Wol.
65%
82-83°F
$1,384 Wol.
29%
84-85°F
$400 Wol.
3%
86-87°F
$287 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$562 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$110 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$253 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models show a high near 77–80°F for Chicago on August 27, 2026, with sunny to partly cloudy skies, northwest to northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon shower chance.** Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and post-frontal drier air keep readings from climbing further, while inland sites may briefly reach the low 80s before any lake breeze develops. These conditions align closely with the market’s dominant 80–81°F bin (65% implied probability) and the secondary 82–83°F outcome (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest warming under stable high pressure rather than any rapid intensification or heat advection. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs continue to favor this narrow range, with minimal upside risk above 83°F given the timing of any cloud or shower development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,427Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models show a high near 77–80°F for Chicago on August 27, 2026, with sunny to partly cloudy skies, northwest to northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon shower chance.** Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and post-frontal drier air keep readings from climbing further, while inland sites may briefly reach the low 80s before any lake breeze develops. These conditions align closely with the market’s dominant 80–81°F bin (65% implied probability) and the secondary 82–83°F outcome (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest warming under stable high pressure rather than any rapid intensification or heat advection. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs continue to favor this narrow range, with minimal upside risk above 83°F given the timing of any cloud or shower development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,427Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models show a high near 77–80°F for Chicago on August 27, 2026, with sunny to partly cloudy skies, northwest to northeast winds, and only a slight afternoon shower chance.** Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and post-frontal drier air keep readings from climbing further, while inland sites may briefly reach the low 80s before any lake breeze develops. These conditions align closely with the market’s dominant 80–81°F bin (65% implied probability) and the secondary 82–83°F outcome (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest warming under stable high pressure rather than any rapid intensification or heat advection. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs continue to favor this narrow range, with minimal upside risk above 83°F given the timing of any cloud or shower development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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