Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime radiative heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus through August 31 indicate highs of 29–32 °C, with peak values most likely during brief breaks in convective activity. High dew points near 26–27 °C and sustained southwesterly flow further suppress thermal extremes relative to pre-monsoon months. Traders weigh the narrow historical range of late-August maxima at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station against potential short-term model shifts in monsoon intensity or timing of any rain bands before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 31?
34°C 44%
33°C 40%
29°C 29%
32°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
18%
29°C
29%
30°C
18%
31°C
24%
32°C
25%
33°C
40%
34°C
44%
35°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
33°C 40%
29°C 29%
32°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
18%
29°C
$0 Wol.
29%
30°C
$0 Wol.
18%
31°C
$0 Wol.
24%
32°C
$0 Wol.
25%
33°C
$0 Wol.
40%
34°C
$0 Wol.
44%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime radiative heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus through August 31 indicate highs of 29–32 °C, with peak values most likely during brief breaks in convective activity. High dew points near 26–27 °C and sustained southwesterly flow further suppress thermal extremes relative to pre-monsoon months. Traders weigh the narrow historical range of late-August maxima at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station against potential short-term model shifts in monsoon intensity or timing of any rain bands before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime radiative heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus through August 31 indicate highs of 29–32 °C, with peak values most likely during brief breaks in convective activity. High dew points near 26–27 °C and sustained southwesterly flow further suppress thermal extremes relative to pre-monsoon months. Traders weigh the narrow historical range of late-August maxima at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station against potential short-term model shifts in monsoon intensity or timing of any rain bands before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting daytime radiative heating and keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus through August 31 indicate highs of 29–32 °C, with peak values most likely during brief breaks in convective activity. High dew points near 26–27 °C and sustained southwesterly flow further suppress thermal extremes relative to pre-monsoon months. Traders weigh the narrow historical range of late-August maxima at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station against potential short-term model shifts in monsoon intensity or timing of any rain bands before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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