Recent short-range forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models project a daytime high near 33–34°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies following recent rain and clearing. Light northeast winds and moderate humidity support modest daytime heating without strong advection or persistent cloud cover that would suppress maxima. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation produce only small differences in the daily maximum at official stations, while urban heat-island effects add minor variability. Upcoming model runs and any last-minute satellite observations of cloud trends will determine whether probabilities shift toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
35°C 34%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
25%
35°C
34%
36°C
25%
37°C
9%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 34%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
25%
35°C
34%
36°C
25%
37°C
9%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models project a daytime high near 33–34°C in Chengdu on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies following recent rain and clearing. Light northeast winds and moderate humidity support modest daytime heating without strong advection or persistent cloud cover that would suppress maxima. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–36°C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer mixing and peak insolation produce only small differences in the daily maximum at official stations, while urban heat-island effects add minor variability. Upcoming model runs and any last-minute satellite observations of cloud trends will determine whether probabilities shift toward the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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