**Recent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are moderating temperatures after a prolonged Southern California heat wave, positioning upper-70s to low-80s readings as the most likely peak for Los Angeles on August 31.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local model ensembles project daily highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s at key stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny conditions and a sea breeze limiting further warming. Historical climatology shows an average high near 77°F for the date, and the current setup aligns with post-heatwave cooling patterns where marine influence typically caps coastal and basin maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% probability on 78-79°F, alongside notable shares for 76-77°F and 80-81°F, tracks this model agreement and the narrow expected range, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 82°F or below 76°F absent unexpected shifts in wind or cloud cover. New NWS forecast updates or model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
7%
84°F or higher
7%
78-79°F 50%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
18%
76-77°F
$12 Wol.
35%
78-79°F
$107 Wol.
50%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
36%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
7%
84°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are moderating temperatures after a prolonged Southern California heat wave, positioning upper-70s to low-80s readings as the most likely peak for Los Angeles on August 31.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local model ensembles project daily highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s at key stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny conditions and a sea breeze limiting further warming. Historical climatology shows an average high near 77°F for the date, and the current setup aligns with post-heatwave cooling patterns where marine influence typically caps coastal and basin maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% probability on 78-79°F, alongside notable shares for 76-77°F and 80-81°F, tracks this model agreement and the narrow expected range, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 82°F or below 76°F absent unexpected shifts in wind or cloud cover. New NWS forecast updates or model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$119Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are moderating temperatures after a prolonged Southern California heat wave, positioning upper-70s to low-80s readings as the most likely peak for Los Angeles on August 31.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local model ensembles project daily highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s at key stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny conditions and a sea breeze limiting further warming. Historical climatology shows an average high near 77°F for the date, and the current setup aligns with post-heatwave cooling patterns where marine influence typically caps coastal and basin maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% probability on 78-79°F, alongside notable shares for 76-77°F and 80-81°F, tracks this model agreement and the narrow expected range, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 82°F or below 76°F absent unexpected shifts in wind or cloud cover. New NWS forecast updates or model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$119Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer are moderating temperatures after a prolonged Southern California heat wave, positioning upper-70s to low-80s readings as the most likely peak for Los Angeles on August 31.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and local model ensembles project daily highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s at key stations such as Los Angeles International Airport, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny conditions and a sea breeze limiting further warming. Historical climatology shows an average high near 77°F for the date, and the current setup aligns with post-heatwave cooling patterns where marine influence typically caps coastal and basin maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% probability on 78-79°F, alongside notable shares for 76-77°F and 80-81°F, tracks this model agreement and the narrow expected range, with only low odds assigned to outliers above 82°F or below 76°F absent unexpected shifts in wind or cloud cover. New NWS forecast updates or model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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