Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
35°C 32%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
8%
33°C
16%
34°C
28%
35°C
32%
36°C
18%
37°C
8%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 32%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
2%
31°C
$0 Wol.
14%
32°C
$55 Wol.
8%
33°C
$0 Wol.
16%
34°C
$15 Wol.
28%
35°C
$60 Wol.
32%
36°C
$25 Wol.
18%
37°C
$15 Wol.
8%
38°C
$0 Wol.
3%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$170Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$170Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has suppressed daytime maxima while increasing soil moisture and atmospheric humidity, setting up moderate warming potential as skies clear on August 30–31. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates mostly cloudy to clear conditions with localized showers and central urban highs near 34°C, consistent with model consensus from sources projecting 33–35°C peaks under reduced cloud cover and light winds. Recent August analogs show post-frontal recovery rarely exceeding 36°C this late in the season, while residual moisture and typical subtropical humidity cap extreme heating. Traders appear to weigh these clearing signals against lingering variability in localized convection, producing closely matched implied probabilities around 34–35°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of August 31 will refine the final resolution range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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