Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that brings milder air and strong winds gusting over 30–40 km/h. This setup favors daytime maxima near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~13–14°C, with limited cloud cover early in the day before showers develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61% implied probability on 16°C and 26% on 17°C, aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest warming from the current 14°C readings on August 29, though model spread and wind-driven variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak values measured at the official site. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
16°C 61%
17°C 26%
15°C 11%
18°C 3.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
61%
17°C
26%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 26%
15°C 11%
18°C 3.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$206 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$241 Wol.
1%
14°C
$325 Wol.
2%
15°C
$1,497 Wol.
11%
16°C
$1,617 Wol.
61%
17°C
$545 Wol.
26%
18°C
$123 Wol.
3%
19°C
$202 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that brings milder air and strong winds gusting over 30–40 km/h. This setup favors daytime maxima near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~13–14°C, with limited cloud cover early in the day before showers develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61% implied probability on 16°C and 26% on 17°C, aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest warming from the current 14°C readings on August 29, though model spread and wind-driven variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak values measured at the official site. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,323Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that brings milder air and strong winds gusting over 30–40 km/h. This setup favors daytime maxima near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~13–14°C, with limited cloud cover early in the day before showers develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61% implied probability on 16°C and 26% on 17°C, aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest warming from the current 14°C readings on August 29, though model spread and wind-driven variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak values measured at the official site. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,323Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a high of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front that brings milder air and strong winds gusting over 30–40 km/h. This setup favors daytime maxima near or slightly above the late-August climatological average of ~13–14°C, with limited cloud cover early in the day before showers develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61% implied probability on 16°C and 26% on 17°C, aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest warming from the current 14°C readings on August 29, though model spread and wind-driven variability introduce uncertainty around exact peak values measured at the official site. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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