Current forecasts from models like GFS and observations from agencies such as AEMET indicate clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, supporting a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 29. This aligns with the market's strong 98.1% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture. Historical August lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show a modest cool anomaly relative to climatology. A realistic shift toward 11°C or lower would require unexpected frontal passage or greater dew point depression, while revisions above 13°C remain unlikely absent warmer advection. Updated observations and final official readings will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
12°C 98.0%
11°C or below 2%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
98%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
12°C 98.0%
11°C or below 2%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$228 Wol.
2%
12°C
$673 Wol.
98%
13°C
$254 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$266 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$313 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$97 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$53 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$53 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$78 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$78 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and observations from agencies such as AEMET indicate clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, supporting a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 29. This aligns with the market's strong 98.1% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture. Historical August lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show a modest cool anomaly relative to climatology. A realistic shift toward 11°C or lower would require unexpected frontal passage or greater dew point depression, while revisions above 13°C remain unlikely absent warmer advection. Updated observations and final official readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,168Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and observations from agencies such as AEMET indicate clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, supporting a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 29. This aligns with the market's strong 98.1% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture. Historical August lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show a modest cool anomaly relative to climatology. A realistic shift toward 11°C or lower would require unexpected frontal passage or greater dew point depression, while revisions above 13°C remain unlikely absent warmer advection. Updated observations and final official readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,168Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS and observations from agencies such as AEMET indicate clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Madrid, supporting a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 29. This aligns with the market's strong 98.1% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and limiting moisture. Historical August lows average around 18°C, but recent model runs show a modest cool anomaly relative to climatology. A realistic shift toward 11°C or lower would require unexpected frontal passage or greater dew point depression, while revisions above 13°C remain unlikely absent warmer advection. Updated observations and final official readings will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania