Recent northerly winds following the subtropical high's adjustment have introduced cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao, driving overnight temperatures toward 22°C as the most probable minimum on August 29. Official forecasts from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a daily range near 24–29°C, with humidity near 90% and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling but supporting the observed decline from prior 26°C lows. Market-implied odds favor 22°C or 21°C outcomes due to consistent model consensus on this cooling pattern, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low absent stronger advection or clearer skies. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
20°C or below 3.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,129 Wol.
$3,129 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
-
22°C
-
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 3.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,129 Wol.
$3,129 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$908 Wol.
4%
21°C
$717 Wol.
-
22°C
$784 Wol.
-
23°C
$121 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$53 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the subtropical high's adjustment have introduced cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao, driving overnight temperatures toward 22°C as the most probable minimum on August 29. Official forecasts from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a daily range near 24–29°C, with humidity near 90% and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling but supporting the observed decline from prior 26°C lows. Market-implied odds favor 22°C or 21°C outcomes due to consistent model consensus on this cooling pattern, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low absent stronger advection or clearer skies. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,129Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the subtropical high's adjustment have introduced cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao, driving overnight temperatures toward 22°C as the most probable minimum on August 29. Official forecasts from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a daily range near 24–29°C, with humidity near 90% and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling but supporting the observed decline from prior 26°C lows. Market-implied odds favor 22°C or 21°C outcomes due to consistent model consensus on this cooling pattern, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low absent stronger advection or clearer skies. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,129Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds following the subtropical high's adjustment have introduced cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao, driving overnight temperatures toward 22°C as the most probable minimum on August 29. Official forecasts from sources including the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate a daily range near 24–29°C, with humidity near 90% and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling but supporting the observed decline from prior 26°C lows. Market-implied odds favor 22°C or 21°C outcomes due to consistent model consensus on this cooling pattern, while probabilities for 20°C or below remain low absent stronger advection or clearer skies. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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