Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-winter climatology averaging 16–18°C highs. This setup favors limited diurnal warming and positions 19–20°C outcomes as plausible only if model runs shift with stronger northerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 20°C appears driven by historical August variability and uncertainty ranges in short-range guidance rather than confirmed warming signals, with lower probabilities for 21°C+ underscoring limited upside potential before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
20°C 46%
19°C 24%
21°C 16%
18°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
16%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 24%
21°C 16%
18°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$500 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$185 Wol.
1%
16°C
$80 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$88 Wol.
10%
19°C
$283 Wol.
24%
20°C
$873 Wol.
46%
21°C
$146 Wol.
16%
22°C
$54 Wol.
5%
23°C
$36 Wol.
2%
24°C or higher
$143 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-winter climatology averaging 16–18°C highs. This setup favors limited diurnal warming and positions 19–20°C outcomes as plausible only if model runs shift with stronger northerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 20°C appears driven by historical August variability and uncertainty ranges in short-range guidance rather than confirmed warming signals, with lower probabilities for 21°C+ underscoring limited upside potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,387Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-winter climatology averaging 16–18°C highs. This setup favors limited diurnal warming and positions 19–20°C outcomes as plausible only if model runs shift with stronger northerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 20°C appears driven by historical August variability and uncertainty ranges in short-range guidance rather than confirmed warming signals, with lower probabilities for 21°C+ underscoring limited upside potential before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,387Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-winter climatology averaging 16–18°C highs. This setup favors limited diurnal warming and positions 19–20°C outcomes as plausible only if model runs shift with stronger northerly advection or reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 20°C appears driven by historical August variability and uncertainty ranges in short-range guidance rather than confirmed warming signals, with lower probabilities for 21°C+ underscoring limited upside potential before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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